Annually, Dr. Philip Klotzbach, and his team at Colorado State University, put together a forecast on potential number of storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes for the upcoming Atlantic tropical season.
If this forecast were to be correct, the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season would remain just below average. The average is twelve.
Meanwhile, TSR's Professor Mark Saunders and Dr Adam Lea are also forecasting 11 named storms, with four hurricanes and two major hurricanes, in their updated.
"1957, 1965, 1976 and 2002 had slightly below-average hurricane activity, while 1972 was a well below-average season", said Phil Klotzbach, research scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science and lead author of the report.
The warmer waters tend to strengthen high-altitude winds that swirl over the tropical Atlantic Ocean, essentially blowing apart storms and making it harder for them to condense into risky cyclones.
The 2017 hurricane season won't officially begin until June 1 for the Atlantic, but researchers are already taking a look at how it could play out.
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In a report released Thursday, the university predicts 11 named Atlantic storms, of which four will strengthen to hurricane level and two will reach category three or higher.
For 2017, conditions might swing the other way if El Niño has something to say about it. The forecast is calling for an average to slightly below average year.
Both percentages are below the yearly averages, including 52 percent for the United States and 31 percent for the Eastern seaboard.
The group also created a Landfall Probability Website where you can check the probability of a storm actually making landfall where you live.
The site provides information for all coastal states as well as 11 regions and 205 individual counties along the US coastline from Brownsville, Texas, to Eastport, Maine. Last year, Hurricane Nicole struck Bermuda in October and Hurricane Otto formed in late November, making it the latest storm on record to form in the Atlantic.